Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.034485 0.040028 0.046127 0.053331 0.061599 0.070787 0.081763
2025-11-23 0.026826 0.034233 0.043130 0.054576 0.068885 0.086151 0.108539
2025-11-30 0.022726 0.031457 0.042758 0.058392 0.079388 0.106530 0.144193
2025-12-07 0.018718 0.027852 0.040483 0.059110 0.085744 0.122297 0.176080
2025-12-14 0.015123 0.024030 0.037108 0.057535 0.088427 0.133139 0.202426
2025-12-21 0.012692 0.021404 0.034905 0.057110 0.092418 0.145995 0.232917
2025-12-28 0.011523 0.020496 0.035087 0.060211 0.101967 0.168014 0.279565
2026-01-04 0.010293 0.019248 0.034482 0.061861 0.109276 0.187215 0.323822
2026-01-11 0.008739 0.017159 0.032125 0.060160 0.110674 0.196830 0.353294
2026-01-18 0.007622 0.015666 0.030563 0.059568 0.113790 0.209484 0.389049
2026-01-25 0.006561 0.014097 0.028619 0.057966 0.114802 0.218441 0.419085
2026-02-01 0.005776 0.012945 0.027288 0.057306 0.117404 0.230393 0.455608
2026-02-08 0.005164 0.012067 0.026399 0.057450 0.121678 0.246108 0.501294
2026-02-15 0.004493 0.010948 0.024859 0.056061 0.122733 0.255801 0.536514
2026-02-22 0.004237 0.010721 0.025170 0.058594 0.132114 0.282780 0.608667
2026-03-01 0.003817 0.010041 0.024388 0.058639 0.136226 0.299542 0.661832
2026-03-08 0.003321 0.009086 0.022844 0.056755 0.135888 0.307013 0.696395
2026-03-15 0.002972 0.008440 0.021925 0.056179 0.138382 0.320701 0.745544
2026-03-22 0.002862 0.008402 0.022466 0.059151 0.149377 0.353981 0.840774
2026-03-29 0.002685 0.008152 0.022444 0.060733 0.157265 0.381104 0.924892
2026-04-05 0.002370 0.007460 0.021190 0.059042 0.157021 0.389663 0.967486
2026-04-12 0.002141 0.006974 0.020404 0.058451 0.159421 0.404585 1.026343
2026-04-19 0.001898 0.006403 0.019305 0.056874 0.159111 0.412995 1.070489